- It does mean that opinion polls also register a willingness to talk. Only 9% of people contacted by pollsters actually respond. Ninety-one percent just hang up. It doesn't take much movement in the hang up numbers because of momentary disappointment or enthusiasm to influence the polling results.
- The best polls have a margin of error plus or minus 3% meaning a poll number of 47% is really anywhere between 44 and 50 percent.
- Order of questions makes a big difference in results. If they ask "who won the debate?" first it will influence how some people answer "who are you voting for?"
And I have to believe those poor people are being drowned in campaign calls and polling calls. I'd be shocked if the hang up rate in Ohio is under 95%. Each pollster is dialing 20,000 Buckeye phones just to get enough responses to make up a polling result. And there are over a dozen pollsters in the field harassing Ohioans.
Bottom line. It is a close election where Get Out the Vote and Voter Suppression programs will make the difference.