Monday, April 25, 2016

The Pact

When I read that Ted Cruz and John Kasich signed a non-aggression pact I couldn't help thinking back to the Hitler-Stalin Pact of 1939.
They divided Poland between them, Uncle Joe got to pick the ripe fruit of the Baltic states while Brother Adolph got a free shot at France. They still hated each others viscera and it was only a matter of time before one stabbed the other in the back.

The Cruz-Kasich non-aggression pact divvies up the primary map like Poland - Ted gets Indiana while John gets Oregon and New Mexico. And like Joe and Adolph, the question is not whether there will be betrayal but who will deliver the first cut.

The Hitler-Stalin Pact was forged in ambition (for land) and mutual weakness. Hitler didn't think the German army was strong enough yet to fight a two-front war while Stalin had decimated his general staff through his purges and feared the Wehrmacht.

The Cruz-Kasich Pact is also founded in ambition (for a nomination that is slipping away) and mutual weakness. For both the weakness is the lack of money. Kasich is broke while Cruz lacks the resources for the massive media buys he'll need to come from behind in California. Cruz is also expecting another humiliating butt kicking in tomorrow's primaries with more third place finishes meaning he will be limping into Indiana.

We'll see if it works but I anticipate betrayal before success.

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