More objectivity than I thought I was capable of.
Best Case Scenario
One of the two remaining Democratic candidates wins an absolute majority of the standard delegates, absent those stripped from Michigan and Florida. A sufficient number of super delegates endorse this candidate giving him/her enough for the nomination. Only then are Michigan and Florida delegates seated and the party has an undisputed champion.
Worst Case Scenario
One of the two remaining Democratic candidates fails to gain a majority of the standard delegates but uses some combination of the following to game the system: use political muscle to seat Michigan and Florida delegations committed to her (or him), uses backroom maneuvering at state conventions to take away delegates pledged to the other candidate at party caucuses, and relies on the super delegates to eke out a narrow victory contrary to the will of the Democratic voters.
The first case will result in disappointment among the loser's supporters but there will be a general feeling that the system work and the party will be able to go forth as a single party.
The second case will rend the party. The losing side will be outraged at what will be perceived as theft. The likelihood of a viable third party campaign (or even a fourth if religious conservatives bolt the Republicans) will make winning the Democratic nomination a Pyrrhic victory.
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1 comment:
I agree.
The Democratic Party needs to follow the will of the people.
The delegates and super delegates need to pledge based on who one the popular vote in their state/district.
Any backroom deal to sway 30 or so delegates to in effect steal the election will not be tolerated well by The People.
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